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Oct. 31st, 2008

beach baby II

My calls

We still have to work for it, but for the record, I am going to make the following predictions for the election. If you, too, help work for it, these things (and more!) will come to pass:

PRESIDENT

Barack Obama states, in rough order of the time he will be projected to have won them: VT, DC, DE, ME, NH, CT, MD, MA, NJ, IL, RI, MN, WI, MI, NY, VA, PA, IA, NM, CO, IN, GA, NC, FL, HI, OR, WA, CA, ND, MO, OH, NV, MT for a total of 396 electoral votes

John McCain states, in a similar order: KY, SC, MS, OK, AL, TN, AR, WY, SD, NE, KS, LA, TX, WV, UT, AZ (barely), ID, AK for a total of 142 electoral votes

Time Barack Obama will be projected to have won the election: roughly 8:10 pm PST.

SENATE

Democratic gains in Republican-held seats: VA, NM, CO, NH, NC, MN, AK, OR, GA (D+9)

Republican gains in Democratic-held seats: none

HOUSE

Democrats gain 33 seats and lose 3 for a net gain of 30

GUBERNATORIAL

Democrats pick up the Missouri governorship and retain all theirs, including Chris Gregoire, for a net gain of 1

STATE LEGISLATIVE

Democrats gain control of several state legislative chambers and lose none

INITIATIVES

Prop 8 narrowly fails in California

The Washington assisted suicide initiative passes

In Oregon, Measures 57 and 61 both pass but 57 gets more votes

The other Sizemore and Mannix measures all fail

Measure 65 passes, as do the housekeeping measures

OTHER OREGON/PORTLAND

Democrats win all 4 statewide races

Democrats hold steady in the Oregon Senate and gain at least 3 seats in the House

Amanda Fritz beats Charles Lewis

Oct. 30th, 2008

beach baby II

For victory

What are you going to do over the next 120-odd hours to work for a victory for Barack Obama and other Democratic candidates?

I have been using my mad legal skillz (more like phone skillz, really) helping voters with ballot problems here in Oregon (¡occasionally in hilariously accented Spanish!). On Election Day, I will be monitoring the vote count in Washington County for the Oregon Democratic Lawyers' Committee from 9:30 to 5, then making get-out-the-vote calls until the polls close (after the Night Lawyers come on duty).

And you?

As I have said in all media to which I can gain access, if you need help plugging in with any progressive campaign, anywhere in the country, feel free to contact me. They need your time way more than your money at this point.
beach baby II

January 2010

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